Intro
Some people think that the best estimates we get about the strength of the community is from Waqf-e-jadid participants count which the Khalifa the declares in some of his Friday sermons. It seems, in 2020 a total of 1.45 million Ahmadis participated in Waqf-e-jadid which is close to the estimate you mentioned above. Assuming that at least half of the community participates in this scheme then there is only 2.9 million Ahmadis in the world. Here is the khutuba link. In 2022, the total participation was 1.56 million. So, an increase of 110,000 over the course of 2 years. I would probably put the number closer to 2 million Ahmadis worldwide. That is because it is easy to participate in Waqf-e Jadid. It just requires a cent. This is scary nonetheless. While the Jama’at claims “tens of millions” of Ahmadis, the reality is far less.
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Links and Related Essay’s
Something does not add up : islam_ahmadiyya (reddit.com)
https://alislam.org/friday-sermon//2021-01-08.html
https://www.alislam.org/friday-sermon/2023-01-06.html
What is Waqf-e-Jadid? – ahmadiyyafactcheckblog
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